Ottawa mayoral candidate Catherine McKenney has a razor-thin lead over Mark Sutcliffe, a MainStResearch poll suggests. McKenney's 4.1% lead is just above the poll's 3% margin of error. Monday's election result will be down to turnout, observers say.
Ottawa mayoral candidate Catherine McKenney has a razor-thin lead over their main rival, Mark Sutcliffe, aMcKenney's 4.1 per cent lead is just above the three per cent margin of error in the poll, which was held earlier this week."It comes to the issue of who's going to vote, how are they going to get people to vote and what the turnout is going to be," said Carleton University's Christopher Waddell.
"As much as change is in the air, those who are interested in change will have coalesced around McKenney. And to the extent that the urban core of the city has been energized by the experience of the convoy, that may translate into enthusiasm for them on election day." The undecided number in the poll, 13 per cent, is lower than nearly any other municipal poll run recently by Mainstreet, other than Vancouver, where it was also 13 per cent. Hamilton's was 20 per cent, Surrey, B.C., was 25 per cent and Vaughan, Ont., was 50 per cent. It suggests a high level of engagement among Ottawans.
That tends to favour McKenney by diverting votes that would probably otherwise have gone to Sutcliffe, Turgeon argued.
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