Bulls regrouping as consensus building about country’s recovery prospects
As Chinese assets whipsaw around hopes and fears over the country’s path out of the pandemic, big offshore investors are slowly leaving the sidelines as they plot a cautious return to one of the year’s worst-performing equity markets.
Overall, however, while consensus is building around economic recovery, there is hesitation over timing and weight of capital to allocate to China as the regulatory and political risks that have stalked its equity markets for the past couple of years remain. Market participants say the asset moves so far - coming with COVID cases at record highs and only hints of a shift in authorities’ response - suggest light positioning in China that could lift markets if it were to solidify into steady inflows.
The policy response has been monetary easing, steadily increasing support for the property sector and the easing of some of the strict COVID rules. It is yet to win investors’ full approval, since unpredictable regulation and politics still hang over profitability, and domestic confidence remains fragile.
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