Investors in the coming week are awaiting economic data on the U.S. services sector
Not everyone believes that recession is a given. Signs of ebbing inflation have fueled hopes that the Fed may tighten monetary policy less than expected, supporting a rebound in the S&P 500 that has buoyed the index from its October low.
Lucas Kawa, an asset allocation strategist at UBS, believes stock prices are already factoring in recession risk. He expects some of the factors that hurt markets in 2022 - including weaker growth in China and Europe – to reverse next year, supporting asset prices.Garrett Melson, a portfolio strategist at Natixis Investment Managers, expects a so-called soft landing in which the U.S.
He is bullish U.S. small-cap stocks, which he believes have priced in a recession. The small-cap Russell is down some 16% this year. “The market seems a little offside here with the consensus that a recession is inevitable,” he said. “The path to a soft landing is probably wider than what the consensus viewpoint is right now.”
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