After Russia annexed four regions of Ukraine in September amid its ongoing invasion of the eastern European country, Ukraine announced it had signed an accelerated application to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Will Ukraine become a NATO member anytime soon? CTVNews.ca turned to experts on Russia's war in Ukraine to better understand.
reaffirmed the alliance's commitment to supporting Ukraine and making it a member someday, but was careful to state that NATO "is not a party to the war."
So, why might Ukraine not become a member of NATO any time soon? CTVNews.ca turned to experts on Russia's war against Ukraine to understand some of the reasons.NATO is an alliance of 28 European countries and two North American countries – Canada and the U.S. – thatwith the goal of protecting the freedom and security of its member states by political and military means.
"Under Article 5 of the NATO agreement, the whole of NATO would have to come to defence," Mendes told CTVNews.ca in a telephone interview on Thursday. "Which means that there's going to be a direct conflict between NATO and Russia, which could possibly evolve into a nuclear conflict." Zyla and Mendes argued that, even if NATO members chose not to invoke Article 5 after formally admitting Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin would likely treat Ukraine's NATO accession as a provocation, and escalate the war anyway.
"Ukraine has said that they want to join NATO because they don't want a war after this one," he told CTVNews.ca during an interview over Zoom on Friday. As for the risk a provoked Putin might choose to escalate the war, he believes the odds of that happening are the same whether Ukraine joins NATO or not.
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