China’s ‘zero-COVID’ drama foreshadows a future of political instability
Nancy Qian is a professor of managerial economics and decision sciences at Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management, a co-director of Northwestern’s Global Poverty Research Lab and the founding director of China Econ Lab.
Compared to 1989, the government’s response was notably moderate: police dispersed demonstrations with relatively little violence, though this partly reflected their ability to use new surveillance technologies to track down and discourage protesters. But China’s government has also apparently listened to the protesters. It has now scrapped some of its harsher COVID policies, such as the requirement to quarantine in state facilities.
For a population of 1.4 billion, even two million deaths would amount to a much lower mortality rate than in the United States. But, after years spent suffering under strict lockdowns, the Chinese people are unlikely to find this distinction comforting. China has attempted to ease its pandemic restrictions before, only to tighten them when cases surged.
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