Before you buy or sell, pause to understand what the investor you’re transacting with is thinking, says Tom Bradley. Find out more.
If the economy takes a dip, loan defaults will accelerate for both consumer and commercial borrowers, and corporate bond yields are likely to increase relative to risk-free government bonds. This spread, as it’s referred to, has already widened, but doesn’t appear to be discounting a meaningful recession.Article content
But this is all well known. The current dialogue is centred around these risks, and indicators of investor sentiment are overwhelmingly bearish. But what about the forces on the other side that are helping to make a market? In this respect, weak earnings this year will set up the next period of growth. An economic slowdown will reset supply chains, loosen up the labour market and shake out weak competitors.Article content
Companies based in the United States have been feeling the negative impact of a strong U.S. dollar. Revenues and earnings from foreign operations translate into fewer U.S. dollars, which weighs on overall profitability. If the greenback stops going up, or even weakens, reported earnings will get a boost.
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It takes two to tango, so investors should figure out what the other side is thinkingBefore you buy or sell, pause to understand what the investor you’re transacting with is thinking, says Tom Bradley. Find out more.
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