The Blue Jays will have their hands full this weekend NickAshbourne
— is menacing, especially with Franco looking like he's arrived as a superstar-level performer.
Below that are a bunch of players who have produced early in 2023 but lack compelling track records. The Rays' most common 5-6-7-8-9 hitters against right-handed pitchers have combined for a 146There may be a true breakout star in the group, but chances are these guys will come back to earth. It's also clear the pitching has received some good luck. While the team's ERA is a ridiculous 2.23, its FIP is a slightly more human 2.87 due to the staff's .250 BABIP allowed.
The 5.7% HR/FB the team has conceded also looks awfully low. As a result the club's xFIP — an ERA estimator that assumes an average amount of opponents' fly balls will clear the wall — sits at 3.69.It would be tough to argue that Toronto is a better team than Tampa Bay right now, but the Rays aren't unbeatable. Their lineup is due for a cooldown and even an excellent pitching staff can't keep going at this pace.
There's plenty of room for Tampa Bay to experience some regression and still produce elite results, but the Rays are about to face their first true test of the season in Toronto.
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