The coming economic downturn will force the premier to make the tough choices he was able to avoid during his first mandate
The darkest of those clouds is the threat of a global recession. There appears to be an increasing risk of a significant slowdown of most of the world’s economies, including Canada’s. Legault is credited with navigating competently through the COVID-19 pandemic, but he was fortunate that the province’s economy had been booming for the past decade. That made it relatively easy to spend billions in order to cushion the short-term shock induced by COVID.
The CAQ government will have to meet those challenges while facing a strong, three-party opposition in the National Assembly. Although their numbers are relatively small, the quality of the elected members of each opposition party is high; they will keep the government on its toes. Moreover, contrary to what happened in the early days of the pandemic, where “solidarity” with the authorities was required, the opposition MNAs will be free to criticize the government’s management of the recession.
Québec Solidaire, a leftist party, elected 11 MNAs, one more than what they had in the past parliament. But they gathered more votes than the Liberals , a fact that grants them an influence larger than their numbers in the Assembly would justify. Moreover, they have demonstrated since the 2018 election that even with few members, they can provide a very strong opposition, sometimes giving the impression that they, not the Liberals, were the official Opposition.
A word regarding the reborn provincial Conservative party, led by former talk-radio host Éric Duhaime. They got a respectable 13 per cent of the vote but failed to elect a single MNA. No matter, Duhaime and his mobilized base can be counted on to make noise outside of parliament, especially if the province’s government feels the need to reintroduce COVID-related mandates.
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